Star Wars: Episode IX won’t officially release until December of next year, but rumors around the upcoming movie are already spreading like Porgs on the Millenium Falcon. The latest leaks claim to reveal exactly when the Episode IX trailer will arrive, pegging it to the 2019 Super Bowl, but there’s one reason to discount those Star Wars rumors pretty much immediately.

Here are two reasons why the first Star Wars: Episode IX almost definitely won’t premiere during the Super Bowl in February.

1. Mike Zeroh

Pretty much anytime there’s a sketchy Star Wars rumor you can trace it back to this YouTube account, which spins out exciting (but totally questionable) Star Wars rumors on an almost daily basis.

Some of these are a lot of fun, like the claim that Emperor Palpatine will make an appearance in Episode IX, but based on Zeroh’s track record you can pretty much ignore everything he says. That includes his latest claim about the Star Wars.

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The 501st Legion at Star Wars Celebration 2017.

2. It doesn’t fit with Disney’s pattern

Episode IX will be Disney’s third core Star Wars movie and the fifth overall. So at this point, the company’s developed a bit of a pattern when it comes to rolling out Lucasfilm teasers and trailers. One fan recently broke down that pattern in a Reddit post with some intriguing results.

Based on the rollouts of Episode VII and VIII, the fan argued that we could learn the official title for Star Wars: Episode IX as soon as November 1 (that’s this week!). As for the trailers, they predict a teaser in late November followed by an official trailer in April. That would follow the pattern of Episode VII, but if we’re focused on Episode VIII* then both teaser and trailer should come in April during Lucasfilm’s annual Star Wars Celebration.

Either way, the only thing we probably know for sure at this point is that the trailer for Star Wars: Episode IX definitely won’t debut during the 2019 Super Bowl.

Star Wars: Episode IX flies into theaters on December 20, 2019.